Los jóvenes de China se están quedando atrás a medida que se intensifica la crisis laboral

Las Oportunidades Laborales Gritan en los Carteles de Una Feria de Emplo in la Cidad de Zhengzhou, NL Centro de China. ¡Únete a nosotros para el futuro! An advertising post urged former students to sell electric cars. Otros buscan candidatas “valientes” o “mujeres atractivas” para vender equipos medicos.

Pero Mucos Trabajos Requieren Una Semana Labral de 70 Horas and Pagan Salaios Tan Bajos Como 3000 Renminbi ($400) Al Mes. Wang, a graduado de la Facultad de Comercio, lucha por emocionarse.

Wang, who did not want his full name to be published, said that Zhengzhou, the industrial capital of a province of almost 100 million inhabitants and the headquarters of the largest Apple iPhone factory in the world, should be able to offer better job opportunities. graduates.

He was the first in his rural family to get a university degree and was wondering if he could ever get a decent job, and much less buy a house. “En este momento, la experiencia importa more than a university title because there are many graduates”, he said.

As the second largest economy in the world emerges from three years of restrictions due to covid-19, unemployed young graduates like Wang are taking the worst part of a slow recovery. In May, 20.8 percent of people aged 16 to 24 were unemployed, the largest number since the data series began in 2018 and higher than that of European countries such as France and Italy.

The economy of China still created millions of jobs and the general rate of unemployment remained stable at 5.2 percent in May. Sin ban, muyas vacantes and puestos de bajo nivel no son atrativas para los gradudos universities. La represión de Beijing y los ultimos anos y los sectors de tecnología, finanzas y juegos ha reducido las opportunidades en lo que alguna vez fueron fuentes atractivas de empleo.

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The Employment Index of Graduates compiled by the China Employment Research Institute, a group of experts based in Beijing, has indicated an increase in the labor offer during six consecutive quarters from the end of 2021. And the situation will bring a record harvest. 11.6 million. graduados universitarios que ingresan al Mercado Labral and Junio ​​y Julio.

If the number of graduates can be small compared to the general labor force, its difficult situation points to the faltering economic recovery of China, which lost its rhythm in the second quarter due to the difficulties of the Rarrado factory. “La económia China es mui debil e est moto y la confianza es baja, por lo que diría que ese es el factor más importante en el desempleo juvenil”, dijo Larry Ho, economista jefe para China de Macquarie.

Others said that there are indications that high youth unemployment is a structural problem that, in the end, could threaten political stability.

“We estimate that the problem of youth unemployment can persist for 10 years in the future and will continue to worsen in the short term,” said a report from the China Macroeconomic Forum, co-authored by senior economist Liu Yuanchun. “If it is handled incorrectly, it will lead to more social problems outside the economic sphere, and it will even become a trigger for political problems.”

El Presidente Xi Jinping, who obliged himself to work in a rural village during the Cultural Revolution, feels little sympathy for graduates who are reluctant to accept poorly paid jobs. Instó constantly and los jóvenes a este zizhao kuchi – “Pido penurias”.

Vertical graph of the number of university graduates (millions)* that shows the number of graduates who are crowding the labor market in China

El gobierno lanzó recentente una campaña para persuadir a los graduados a “encontrar un trabajo primero y luego elegir un trabajo” Sin ban, Cartas como estás solo vertatan lo que suspechan mucos jovenes graduation: a pesar de desembolsar títulos que pueden costar casi 30.000 renminbi al año in public universities, approximately una quinta parte del ingreso familias. Laboratory of the University of Las Carecen de Valor and El Mercado.

N Chengdu, a city known for its relaxed environment and high technology industries that usually attract young workers from all over the country.

Yang, graduated in contabilidad de una universidad privada de segundo nivel, consiguió un trabajo que solo paga 3.000 renminbi al mes, alrededor de un tercio de lo que gana su padre como trabajador de la construcción.

“Mi padre paid mucho dinero por mi educación, piensa que la inversión no vale la pena”, he said, and agregó que no puede imaginarse ahorrando suficiente dinero para comprar una casa, mararse o formar una familia.

La crisis laboratory experiment por los graduados de China es aún más surprendente giveno que este grupo es, con mucho, el más educado del país.

Los economistas dieron que las restrictions de Covid eran en parte culpables. With trips, restaurants and other businesses closed for three years, the new jobs in the service sector were probably reduced last year, after adding 16 million jobs in 2018-2019, according to Macquarie.

La Ginte Assiste a Una Feria de Trabajo Para Recien Gradudos in Zhengzhou, China
Feria de empleo para recién graduados en Zhengzhou, China, and Junio. La Capital Industria de Una Provincia de 100 Milón de Piras, la Ciudad ha luchado para proparicar trabajos decentes para su juventud © Qilai Shen / FT

Los Analistas Dijeron from el sector privato in general, que representa el 80 por ciento del empleo urbano en China, todavia carece de confianza despuyes de covid. Private investment in fixed assets, a measure of business activity, turned negative in May for the first time since 2020.

Las medidas énergicas del gobierno contra los sectors de alto crissimiento que han sido grandes empleadores para los jóvenes, incluido el comercio electrónico, las plattformas educativas, los juegos y las finanzas, no han ayudado. Preocupado por la compéncia tecnologia y Estados Unidos, Beijing Ahora Enfatiza los dispositivos electronicos avanzados como los semiconductors. Hu de Macquarie said in a report that juvenile unemployment has more than doubled since the government started this “reducción de riesgos” in 2018.

“The policy that focuses more on security and less on growth is exerting pressure on juvenile unemployment,” said Hu.

“Hay un desajuste de abilidades”, dijo Eswar Prasad, miembro principal de la Institución Brookings Adgenóó Pel Lo Gobier studio Demabia Serapare do si serdiood do seraolio Sto seraolodo to so seraologa estudiantes de ingeniería que salían. de eso universities

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Algunos arganan que Las causas subyacentes son más profundas. The investment model of Beijing has been maintained oriented toward manufacturing and investment in the area of ​​internal consumption necessary in the last instance to create jobs, said Michael Bettis, senior associate at the Carnegie China Center.

“El cresimiento chino no requiere mucha mano de obra”, dijo Pettis el instincto de los politicos chinos e invertir y infrarestructor, manufacturer e propiadad para impulsar el cresimiento. Pero dijo que la relación inversión-PIB del país ya se encuentra entre las más altas de la historia para una gran economía.

“When you base your competitiveness on manufacturing at lower wages, once the lower wages are converted into a weak problem with weak internal demand, you’re stuck,” said Pettis.

Los Jovenes Estan Haciendo Todo is possible para mejorar sus perspectivas labolales. Hasta el año pasado, el Templo Lama and Beijing era frecuentado principally por personas mayores que rezaban por una buena salud. Pero and Un Calrosso Domingo Resaiti, Un Retiro Budista Tibetano Acogio and Saints de Jovenes Desemplados. Baifu de Shaoxiang – Quema incense para orar por una mejor suerte.

Lu, a graduate in accounting, wanted to establish a training business in dance in her native city of Guiyang, in the southwest of China, after not being able to find work after graduating from a second-level university in Beijing.

“I don’t have any chance of getting a job in Beijing,” said Lu, outside the Salon Falun with golden motifs, one of the favorites among the muchos pabellones del templo para jóvenes desempleados.

La gente reza en el Templo Lama en Beijing
Personas rezando en el Templo Lama and Beijing © François Nadeau / FT

Junto con muchos otros jóvenes, Lu approved the exhaustive examination of the national civil service of China, which attracted 2.6 million applicants this year, almost double that in 2019.

But he said that his second wish in the temple was to return to take the exam next year and get a job at the Guiyang Tax Office.

“Esto es lo que quieren mis padres”, he said. “Piensan que debiere priorizar la stability”

Algunos tuvenor suerte. Chu, de 26 años, visited the temple in February to pray for work after losing his job and returned to give thanks.

Obtuve con éxito un puesto en un fabricante de equipos medicos en Zhengzhou. Aunque el nuevo trabajo paga menos de la mitad de lo que ganaba anteriore en el metaverso en Beijing, dijo que “está bien con esto”.

“No hay muchas opportunidades en Beijing”, he said, “así que primero tenía que conseguir un trabajo”.

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