The officials of the Federal Reserve have indicated that they intend to resume interest rate increases in the midst of a growing consensus that more adjustments are needed to curb high inflation in the world’s largest economy.
Según las actas de la reunión del FOMC de June, “casi todos” los funcionarios involucrados dijeron que “más augmentos” en la tasa interes de referencia de la Federía sérien “propiados”.
Agregaron from the Mercado laboratory “Ajustado” and Los “risgos al alza” para la inflation siguén ciendo “factores importantes” que dan forma a la perspectiva casi un año y medio después de que el banco Central de EE. Uuuuu. se embarcara en un ciclo agresivo de aumentos de tasas para controlar las pressures de precios.
Some Fed officials would have favored an increase of 25 basic points in interest rates in June, instead of the pause in a major adjustment that the committee finally supported, according to the minutes of the meeting. But the majority of the Fed officials mentioned the “uncertainty” about the prospects and said that the additional information about the economy would be “valuable”.
En cuanto a las perspectivas económicas, los funcciones de la Fed dijeron que esparan queel crecimiento sea “suave” durante el resto del año, aunque las “presiones bancarías” y ha “desvanesido” y comparación con principios de aunque las Según el informe, el Fed personnel who informed the policy makers at the meeting in June said that they were attached to their previous forecast of a “moderate recession” starting at the end of this year, followed by a “recuperación at a moderate rate”.
The June meeting was the first breather in the Fed’s campaign to eradicate obstinate inflation after it shot up to a maximum of several decades last year. Después de elevarar la tasa de interés de referencia en 10 consecutive meetings, a veces moviéndos en intervalos gigantes de tres cuartos o medio punto, los funcionadores del Banco Central Optarón por mantenerla estable en el rango objetivoy entre 5,5%
The President of the Fed, Jay Powell, justified the pause by saying that the effects of the previous increases in interest rates are still necessary to open a full path to the economy, in addition to the burden on employment and some disturbances among the Bancos regions a principios de este año.
Pero se esperan aumentos de tasas adacionales esté ano, y la mayoria de los funcionarios esperan que la tasa de referencia caiga eventually en un rango de 5.5 por ciento a 5.75 por ciento. This translates into two increases of more than a quarter of a point, and it is likely that the first one will occur at the next meeting of the Federal Reserve at the end of this month.
Speaking in a forum organized by the Banco Central Europeo last week, Powell said he would not quit “the movement in consecutive meetings in absolute terms”.
The potential for new price increases is derived from the continued pressure on prices, especially in the service sector. El mercado laboral de EE. Uuuuu. también se mantiene muy fuerte, lo que esta ayudando a impulsar el gasto de los consumers. Al aumentar los costos de endeudamiento, la Fed tiene como objetivo frenar la demanda en toda la economia.
Los funcionarios mantenien un periodo de cresimiento por debajo de la tendencia y la pérdida de empleos será necessaria para lograr su objetivo de una inflation promedio del 2 por ciento. According to estimates published in June, the politicians expect the economy to grow by 1 percent this year and 1.1 percent next year, as the unemployment rate reaches 4.5 percent. En Mayo, la tasa de desempleo fue del 3,7 Por Sciento.
Fed officials do not expect any rate cut until 2024, given the expectations that “basic” inflation, which excludes the volatile prices of food and energy, will remain above the target. delco plan.
